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News, Insight, & Analysis


Fairfax County Buyer Activity Shifts Back Toward New Listings as Extended Days on Market Inventory Reaches a 2026 High | Northern Virginia Market Update | September 10, 2026
Buyer activity in Fairfax County shifted toward Houses with longer Days on Market during July through mid-August. Over the past two weeks, that pattern has moved back toward recently listed Houses. From August 26 through September 8, 54% of Fairfax County New Contracts involved Houses with 14 Days or less on market, compared with 29% involving Houses with 30+ Days on Market.* The resulting Buyer Activity Ratio has risen back to nearly 2 to 1 in favor of recently listed Hous

Scott Ford
3 days ago


Fairfax County House Inventory Remains Elevated as September New Listings Increase | Fairfax County Inventory Tracker | September 8, 2026
September began with the expected increase in Houses coming to market in Fairfax County—but without a corresponding increase in New Contract activity. For the week ending September 6, 342 New Listings entered the Fairfax County market, compared with 228 New Contracts. New Listings have now exceeded New Contracts for 28 consecutive weeks. At the same time, Fairfax County had 1,874 Active Houses, 20% more than at the comparable point in 2025. The most important September quest

Scott Ford
7 days ago


Mid-August 2026 Northern Virginia Real Estate Market Update | Inventory Continues to Build as Buyers Take Longer to Decide
Northern Virginia is entering the final weeks of summer with an unusual combination of market conditions. The mid-August 2026 Market Update analyzes data on Buyer activity, inventory level, and Days on Market to assess not only the current market environment, but how the market is trending as we look to September. The mid-month Market Updates are a data-driven analysis of Buyer activity, inventory levels, and how the market is split between New Listings and Houses with exten

Scott Ford
Aug 21


Northern Virginia Real Estate Strategic Insight Report | Volume 2 | July 2026 | The 2–3 Week Market Tipping Point
The First Few Weeks on the Market Have Become More Important Than Ever The first two to three weeks after a House is listed have become the most important period for generating Buyer interest in today's Northern Virginia housing market. While Buyers remain active, current market data show that their attention continues to be heavily concentrated on newly listed Houses. Once a House moves beyond this initial window, Buyer activity declines while competition from other longer

Scott Ford
Jul 29


Northern Virginia Real Estate Market Update | Mid-July 2026
One of the most important questions facing today's housing market is not whether Buyers are still purchasing Houses—it is how long they are taking to make their decisions. The data in the Northern Virginia Real Estate Market Update in mid-July 2026 continues to support a trend Bella Casa Partners has been tracking for several months. Buyer activity has remained relatively steady, yet inventory continues to increase because Buyers are taking longer to select a House. As more

Scott Ford
Jul 21


Where Fairfax County's Future Housing Growth Will Occur | Long Term Housing Trends Series No. 3
Where new housing is built matters just as much as how much housing is built. Long Term Housing Trends Series No. 2 examined why Fairfax County's population and housing growth are expected to remain closely aligned through 2035, suggesting today's inventory constraints are unlikely to ease meaningfully over the next decade. This report builds on that analysis by examining where Fairfax County future housing growth is projected to occur. The 2025 Fairfax County Demographic Re

Scott Ford
Jul 8


Population Growth Isn’t Solving the Housing Supply Gap in Fairfax County | Northern Virginia Real Estate Market
In early May, I shared data from Fairfax County’s Housing Needs Assessment showing that projected housing construction is not expected to meet future demand, which reinforces the long-term Fairfax County housing supply gap. The data from the Fairfax County 2025 Demographic Report (published in June 2026) adds another layer to that analysis. Even when housing is added, the underlying supply-demand imbalance is not being corrected. Fairfax County data shows population and housi

Scott Ford
Jul 1


Northern Virginia Real Estate Strategic Insight Report Vol. 1 | Are Buyer Decision Cycles Lengthening?
Northern Virginia Real Estate Strategic Insight Report | Vol. 1 One of the most common assumptions in residential real estate is that if a House remains on the market for several weeks, it must be overpriced. Current market data suggests that conclusion may no longer always be correct. Over the past several months, I have been tracking inventory levels, Buyer activity, Days on Market, and long-term market trends across Fairfax County and Northern Virginia. One pattern continu

Scott Ford
Jun 4


Owner’s Title Insurance: Protecting Your Home After Closing | Northern Virginia Real Estate Strategy
Most Buyers understand that title insurance is part of the closing process. What is less understood is who is actually protected—and what that protection covers. There are two types of title insurance involved in most real estate transactions: one that protects the Lender. and one that protects the homeowner. That distinction is important, particularly after Closing, when ownership—and the associated risks—fully transfer. Owner’s title insurance helps protect homeowners after

Scott Ford
May 13
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Economy Watch Vol. 22 | August 2026 Jobs Report Shows Stronger-Than-Forecast Job Growth
The August 2026 Jobs Report showed considerably stronger employment growth than forecast, while revised estimates for both July and June increased previously reported job growth. The U.S. economy added 162,000 jobs in August, compared with a forecast of 53,000. The unemployment rate remained at 4.1%, as forecast. Perhaps equally significant, the July employment estimate was revised from an initially reported loss of 23,000 jobs to a gain of 21,000 jobs—a 44,000-job upward re

Scott Ford
Sep 7


July 2026 Jobs Report Shows Job Losses as 30-Year Mortgage Rate Reaches a 12-Month High | Economy Watch Vol 20
Two noteworthy reports released last week provided updated information on the U.S. labor market and the mortgage-rate environment. The July 2026 Jobs Report showed a loss of 23,000 jobs, substantially below the forecast for 83,000 jobs to be added. At the same time, revisions showed that job creation during May and June was considerably lower than initially reported. Separately, Freddie Mac's latest weekly mortgage rate survey reported an average 30-year fixed mortgage rate

Scott Ford
Aug 11


Economy Watch Vol. 19 | June 2026 Core PCE Inflation & Q2 GDP growth
Last week's economic data provided updated information on inflation and economic growth through reports on June 2026 Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Inflation and the first estimate of Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth. The reports showed inflation generally remained in line with expectations, while the first estimate of second-quarter GDP indicated moderate economic growth supported by stronger consumer spending. June 2026 Core PCE inflation measured 3.3%, while

Scott Ford
Aug 3


Economy Watch: June 2026 Jobs Report and Unemployment Update
Last week's June 2026 jobs report and unemployment update provided an updated look at U.S. labor market conditions through the June Jobs Report and the latest unemployment data. The reports showed slower job creation during June, downward revisions to the April and May employment reports, and an unemployment rate that remained consistent with the twelve-month average. Figure: The June 2026 Employment Situation Report showed 57,000 jobs created, revisions lowering April and Ma

Scott Ford
Jul 6


Economy Watch: May 2026 Core PCE Inflation and Final Q1 GDP Update
Economic reports released last week updated both inflation and economic growth, providing the final estimate of first-quarter GDP and the latest reading on inflation using the Federal Reserve's preferred measure. The reports showed inflation generally remained in line with expectations while the final estimate of first-quarter GDP revised economic growth higher. Figure: May 2026 Core PCE inflation measured 3.4%, while the final estimate of Q1 2026 GDP growth was revised to 2.

Scott Ford
Jun 29


Economy Watch: April 2026 Core PCE Inflation and Revised Q1 GDP Update
Economy Watch | Vol. 16 | June 1, 2026 Economic reports released last week provided updated information on both inflation and economic growth. The latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report showed inflation higher, but largely in line with expectations, while the second estimate of first-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) revised economic growth lower than initially reported. These reports are among the most closely watched economic indicators because they help t

Scott Ford
Jun 1


Economy Watch: Q1 GDP Growth and March PCE Inflation Update | Northern Virginia Real Estate Market
What Economic Data Was Released This Week? The latest economic reports provide an updated look at growth and inflation: 1st Quarter GDP: +2.0% Core PCE (March): 3.2% These are two of the primary indicators used to evaluate overall economic conditions. Figure: Key economic indicators released this week—Q1 2026 GDP growth at 2.0% and March Core PCE inflation at 3.2% (Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis). What Is Core PCE and Why Does It Matter? Core PCE (Personal Consumpti

Scott Ford
May 1


A Triple Dose of Unwelcome Economy, Inflation, & Mortgage Rate News as We Near the Start of the Peak Spring Market | Northern Virginia Real Estate Market
When asking the question, "How is the Northern Virginia Real Estate Market?", part of the answer is to consider current & future economic indicators. Both the Reality and Public Perception of the Economy can have a significant impact on how Buyers and Sellers act & how the Market reacts. The Economy Watch series focuses upon important economic data & news that can shape activity in the Northern Virginia Real Estate Market. ➡️ 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rate hit a 7-month high

Scott Ford
Mar 15


Economy Watch | Federal Reserve's Preferred Inflation Gauge Met Forecast in Shutdown Delayed Oct & Nov 2025 Report| Northern Virginia Real Estate Market
When asking the question, "How is the Northern Virginia Real Estate Market?", part of the answer is to consider current & future economic indicators. Both the Reality and Public Perception of the Economy can have a significant impact on how Buyers and Sellers act & how the Market reacts. The Economy Watch series focuses upon important economic data & news that can shape activity in the Northern Virginia Real Estate Market. If you want to discuss how the Economy might affec

Scott Ford
Jan 24


Economy Watch | US 3rd Quarter GDP Revised Slightly Higher in Final Report (4.4% Final vs. 3.2% Forecast) | Northern Virginia Real Estate Market
When asking the question, "How is the Northern Virginia Real Estate Market?", part of the answer is to consider current & future economic indicators. Both the Reality and Public Perception of the Economy can have a significant impact on how Buyers and Sellers act & how the Market reacts. The Economy Watch series focuses upon important economic data & news that can shape activity in the Northern Virginia Real Estate Market. If you want to discuss how the Economy might affec

Scott Ford
Jan 23


Economy Watch | US Economy Grew by 4.3% in 3rd Quarter 2025, Significantly Besting Expectation | Northern Virginia Real Estate Market
When asking the question, "How is the Northern Virginia Real Estate Market?", part of the answer is to consider current & future economic indicators. Both the Reality and Public Perception of the Economy can have a significant impact on how Buyers and Sellers act & how the Market reacts. The Economy Watch series focuses upon important economic data & news that can shape activity in the Northern Virginia Real Estate Market. If you want to discuss how the Economy might affec

Scott Ford
Dec 26, 2025


Economy Watch | The Federal Reserve's Preferred Inflation Gauge Met Forecast for August 2025 | Northern Virginia Real Estate Market
When asking the question, "How is the Northern Virginia Real Estate Market?", part of the answer is to consider current & future economic...

Scott Ford
Sep 27, 2025


Economy Watch | 2nd Quarter 2025 GDP Increased to 3.8% Growth in Final Revision | Northern Virginia Real Estate Market
When asking the question, "How is the Northern Virginia Real Estate Market?", part of the answer is to consider current & future economic...

Scott Ford
Sep 25, 2025


Economy Watch | BLS cuts job growth number by 911K making a multiple rate cut scenario before end of 2025 more likely | Northern Virginia Real Estate Market
When asking the question, "How is the Northern Virginia Real Estate Market?", part of the answer is to consider current & future economic...

Scott Ford
Sep 10, 2025


Economy Watch | August 2025 Jobs Report Lower than Market Forecast Making September Fed Rate Cut Nearly Certain | Northern Virginia Real Estate Market
When asking the question, "How is the Northern Virginia Real Estate Market?", part of the answer is to consider current & future economic...

Scott Ford
Sep 5, 2025


Economy Watch | Federal Reserve's Preferred Inflation Gauge Met Market Forecast for July 2025 | Northern Virginia Real Estate Market
When asking the question, "How is the Northern Virginia Real Estate Market?", part of the answer is to consider current & future economic...

Scott Ford
Sep 1, 2025


Economy Watch | 2nd Quarter 2025 GDP Revised Upward to 3.3% | Northern Virginia Real Estate Market
When asking the question, "How is the Northern Virginia Real Estate Market?", part of the answer is to consider current & future economic...

Scott Ford
Aug 29, 2025
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